Change In The Weather
I was not planning to write anything about “Climategate” (or the “Swifthack,” as Josh Nelson calls it) initially. I’m no scientist, and definitely not a climatologist, geologist, or anything even remotely qualified to discuss the science involved. I’m just a moderately intelligent guy who is privileged to run in circles with some real pros in these fields, and was content to let them do the talking rather than say something stupid — unlike roughly 99.999999 percent of the Internet.
If you want a thorough understanding of the saga and a debunking of the idea that this is some kind of massive conspiracy by SCIENCE!!!1 to defraud the world and keep Al Gore rich, I recommend you read Josh’s clearinghouse of articles and links discussing the entire issue from stem to stern. I also recommend reading David Roberts’ and Brian Angliss’ takes on it for further research and edification.
But even as a layman generalist, there are a few basic points I’d like to make. Read on if you’re interested.
- Glossing over an illegal hack doesn’t make this right. In my younger days, I was a big proponent of the whole “information wants to be free” mindset that pervades both the black and white hat 133t haX0r communities. But that precept is often interpreted in the most childish of ways, to justify any kind of wrongdoing or shady behavior simply for the sake of teh lulz or to prove a point. Put more simply, just because someone puts a plate of tasty chocolate chip cookies on the table doesn’t mean you can just start stuffing your face. They may not be yours to have. I think the conservative noise machine is aware of this, which is why they’ve shifted the narrative from the culprit being a hacker to a heroic insider whistleblower. That plays much better in Peoria, but as I’ve said before, imagine if said “whistleblower” had released classified military documents, or, for that matter, Sarah Palin’s personal emails. The response from the right would have been very different. Situational ethics at work — “It’s okay if we do it, but not you guys.”
- Most of this is pretty boring stuff, and the emails are being cherry-picked. I have actually had occasion to read through (some of) the collection of emails that at least one enterprising soul put up on a server (No, I won’t link to it). I don’t know who thought this was a hotbed of evil mustache-twirling villains cackling over their ability to hoodwink the public, but they clearly haven’t read anything more than a few cherry-picked, decontextualized quotes pulled from people like Marc Morano, who has a very upfront stake in the climate change denial industry, and is out to make his bones as such. But seriously, most of the emails in question are mind-numbingly tedious and dry pieces about statistics, sharing information, airing personal grievances, etc. Which leads me to my next point…
- Scientists are flawed, fallible people, just like you and I. Anyone who’s spent time in the hallowed halls of academia knows how personal and vitriolic turf battles can be. It doesn’t surprise me that some of these emails show deep dissension on what global warming is, how it works, what the effects are, etc. Remember, these purloined documents span a period of thirteen years — from March 1996 to November 2009. Is it so impossible to believe that consensus on global warming was not immediate, and took time? That’s how science works, and sometimes it ends up revealing contradictions to what we would now consider the common wisdom. Remember when we thought dinosaurs were cold-blooded reptiles, not warm-blooded ancestors of birds? I read a book as a kid called “The Dinosaur Heresies” that outlined this theory in exhaustive detail (Thanks for buying it, Mom!), and now it’s an accepted fact. Just the same, global warming has reams and reams of data behind it validating the science now, and this came together through argument, debate, research, testing, and retesting, which leads me to my next point…
- One or two bad apples doesn’t indicate a conspiracy. My friend Joe Hines often gently chides me that I am too inclined to look for patterns that may not be there, as part of the human evolutionary psyche. Compared to the folks screaming that this is a full-fledged Secret Society of Science Super-Villains conspiring to put the public under their green thumb, I come off as a total rationalist. Even if it’s proven that some of the scientists involved were deliberately conspiring to hide the rate of temperature cooling in order to preserve their hypotheses — which is anything but proven – it doesn’t invalidate the larger truth. It simply means that a few people were more concerned about their careers and reputations than the honesty of their work, and anyone who has spent time in the governmental or corporate machine knows someone like this. Does that mean we throw out everything we worked on because one person didn’t play fair? Of course not. So it is with global warming.
- If you want a conspiracy, I got one for you. I mentioned Marc Morano earlier. The guy anchoring this whole “GLOBAL WARMING IS A HOAX!!111″ campaign was not only deeply tied to the Swift Boat scandal, and was a former aide to insane climate change denialist and Oklahoma Senator James Inhofe, but is in deep with Rush Limbaugh and the conservative news networks that recycle blog posts, tweets, and articles into one huge sonic scream of craziness. These people are connected. That’s how these incidents become scandals so quickly. Someone feeds info to Rush or Glenn Beck, they get it on their show, and then it’s parroted by blog networks and Twitter users without a second thought. It’s not even a conspiracy, really. It’s more like Pavlovian response in action. And, lest there be no doubt…
- These people hate science. Now, I’m generally a spiritual guy and hardly a hardcore “science uber alles” sort, but there’s a difference between having your own beliefs and outright seeking to eradicate everyone and everything that disagrees with you. This was made clear to me today in reading a post at the Discovery Institute’s blog about the ongoing saga. (The Discovery Institute, for those who don’t know, is a faux-scientific think tank funded by the evangelical Christian movement that advocates young-Earth creationism and intelligent design as the foundation of life, rather than evolution.) Quoth post author Michael Egnar: The ID-Darwinism debate clearly demonstrates that venality and shameless self-interest, as well as a toxic leftist-atheist ideology, runs very deep in the scientific community. Science surely provides much benefit to mankind, but we may need to pursue scientific truth with a different set of scientists than the ones we have now. In other words, it’s time to cull the nonbelievers and replace them with good, right-thinking Christian soldiers. It’s not about truth, facts, or evidence with them, but about maintaining total ideological purity. Now who’s promoting some kind of groupthink, I ask you?
- But what if global warming isn’t our fault, or doesn’t exist? Listen, if a smoking gun should ever arise that definitively, conclusively, irrevocably proves that wide-scale climate change is NOT the work of humans, I will get up off my big, fat, white ass and do a jig. Why? Because it means we’re not responsible for at least one instance of fucking up the planet, as we are with so many other things. And that’s the real crux of the matter. Conservatives, so big on personal responsibility, shirk any accountability for global warming. Why? Because to fix it would mean a massive change to our lifestyles, lives, and livelihoods. We would have to give up the culture of aggressive growth that has fed everything from our unsustainable exurban lifestyles to our desires for war and power. Everything about America, like any other empire, is about being bigger than the other guy–more, more, more. To reshape our lives in order to reduce carbon emissions would involve giving up our SUVS, living in smaller homes, using less energy, etc. Most of us aren’t ready to embrace that kind of massive paradigm shift. We’re only now realizing that we may not enjoy the same standard of living as our parents, thanks to years of economic predation and disaster capitalism. To be told that we have to make do with even less is something we simply can’t accept yet. That’s why conservatives rail so hard against any human responsibility for protecting the Earth — because it’s a lot easier than trading down from an outsize McMansion to a humble condo.
- Even if global warming isn’t our fault, it is our responsibility. The United States alone produces 220 to 230 million tons of garbage a year — 4.6 pounds per person. Most of this is not recycled, but simply dumped or buried in landfills, where it contaminates groundwater and produces health hazards for anyone living nearby. This is unquestionably our responsibility. We made this mess, and we must clean it up. And when it comes to global warming, the question must be asked, “Who is going to handle it?” Who else can address the issue of sea levels rising as the polar ice caps melt? Who else can come up with solutions to entire cultures being destroyed due to rapid climate change? The answer is the same. It’s up to us. We try to deny the existence of human-caused global warming so as to deny our part in destroying the planet — a concept so vast it renders people utterly helpless. But now’s not the time to be helpless, or to be swayed by naysayers who refuse to accept the truth right in front of their eyes. It’s a time to be bold, brave, and visionary, and step forward to accept our responsibility to clean up the planet and not let Nature suffer for our mistakes. If that’s not being personally responsible, what is?











November 30th, 2009 at 10:23 pm
The BBC was given the bulk of the supposed ‘hacked’ emails several months ago, but they sat on the story. If one were really upset about ‘illegal’ information disclosures, then one should start with the Pentagon Papers, Watergate and Iran Contra. All were disclosed thanks to illegal activity on somebody’s part.
What I find interesting is how you didn’t discuss the whole carbon tax/cap and trade aspect of the global warming debate – the one where the super rich elites get to guilt the middle class into a lower standard of living while still running around with fleets of limos and McMansions. The one where hundreds of millions of dollars have been spent by Al Gore Inc. promoting a theory that’s guaranteed to make Wall Street more billions. And expand the power of the state to boot. Cui bono?
If anything I think Climategate proves the environmental lobby and its paid pseudo-scientific hacks are just more elitist tools funded by Wall Street foundations in order to achieve social engineering on a large scale. The goal of that engineering should be obvious to those who follow the money: the middle class must do with less so that the ruling elites can have more…
November 30th, 2009 at 10:54 pm
You talk about a right wing(Rush, Glen etc) conspiracy? Why do you not realize that the IPCC and the MSM, Jones, Mann and friends are a left wing conspiracy? Why do you think only your thoughts are correct? Why are they (lefties) trying so hard to block any argument againstAGW? Finally why has the temperature remained stable for the last 10 years or so while CO2 has constantly risen? Bet there are some other reasons.
December 1st, 2009 at 12:52 am
There are plenty of rational thinking people who thought man made global warming was a crock of BS long before Mark Morano came along. Don’t fool yourself. I, for one, have been saying this is all a bunch of BS from the very beginning. I’m glad to see the cards falling.
December 1st, 2009 at 1:32 am
Too many people on the planet? How do we take responsibility for that? Are you saying that war is needed? Cut the population back to 20% of what it is and most of our problems would go away.
December 1st, 2009 at 2:32 am
Really? Perversion of peer review, destruction of material subject to foi, data manipulated to achieve desired outcome, suspect temp. reconstuctions are now legion as MANY reley on this JUNK. Instrument data is worthless………………………… what’s left?
December 1st, 2009 at 5:08 am
Since your belief in open intellectual debate did not extend to my last comment, perhaps I can offer you some ‘hard’ evidence of my previous claims:
http://joannenova.com.au/2009/11/cru-data-cooking-recipe-exposed/
I understand that letting go of an emotional attachment to an issue can be directly proportional to the amount of time and effort spent promoting said issue. But even the flat-Earthers eventually acknowledged their error…
December 1st, 2009 at 6:50 am
You are an utter moron. “moderately intelligent guy”….who are you trying to kid? Another useless blog from another useless progressive beta male. I bet you got that ass whipped pretty regular in school didn’t ya? The reason I know is that you still lack the balls to stand up for yourself. Piss up a rope tard!
December 1st, 2009 at 6:54 am
The video in this post depicts the naked truth with which we are very well aware.Its high time,if nothing is done now then every thing will be destroyed in the future and no means will be left to protect mother Earth.
December 1st, 2009 at 12:11 pm
Sire you are in denial. I believe you to be a mooncalf!
Wake up and smell the coffee. We have all been duped in an expensive scam. We need to get all the grant money back and charge these people.
December 1st, 2009 at 2:07 pm
My Friend,
You are failing to see the big picture and the end game. The green movement is about green, but not trees and grass and nature, but about money. Every angle of the AGU global warming debate is geared towards penalizing industrialized (wealthy) nations and paying fines and penalties to undeveloped bannana republics.
Your intentions may be good, but you are naive. Think about this fact, based on recent statements by the UN, industrialized nations must reduce CO2 output by 80% to prevent global catastrophie. Do some of your own research and you will find that this goal (not even 40%) is not achieveable under any circumstances.
Really, its not possible. It cannot be done unless every power plant in the industrialized world is replaced by a nuke plant. This will not happen! Not by 2050.
But reducing CO2 is not the goal and has never been the goal. The creation, allocation and sale of Carbon Credits and Carbon Offsets is the goal.
Another words, no one has any intention of reducing CO2 output, they will just pay $$ to offset their CO2.
But where does the money come from that is used to buy carbon credits and offsets? Basicaly is it added to the cost of 100% of everything you buy. These carbon credit costs will simply be added to the price of all products and food. Estimates are that your share of the cost is between $2000-$4000 a year. Thats equal to a year’s worth of car payments. You could take a nice vacation for $3000. Thats a full year of tuition at a community college. In 20 years that is a staggering $80,000.
Where does your money end up? It ends up in the hands of undeveloped nations and the dictators and cronies that run them.
Don’t ge me wrong, there may be some trees planted, but the cost per tree will end up being enormous. A few wind turbines or solar cells may get installed, again at a huge economic cost while doing little to decrease CO2.
Its all about the money, your money, your parents money, and your childrens money. The scary thing is that its not academic at this point, we are close to enacting this massive transfer of wealth and you are deluding yourself if you think otherwise.
If you want to aleviate your Carbon Guilt, do it on your own but don’t advocate that I pay for your Carbon Guilt.
goreal
December 1st, 2009 at 3:11 pm
Colluding to delete documents subject to a UK Freedom of Information Request is in a very literal, non metaphorical sense, a criminal conspiracy.
December 2nd, 2009 at 7:01 pm
Careful folks! This blog author is labeling everyone who disagrees with his point of view as ‘crazy’ and ‘off the chain’ on Facebook, whilst refusing to even bother an attempt at an intellectual debate on the subject here. Does that sound like any kind of intellectual objectivity to you?
December 2nd, 2009 at 7:27 pm
All you have to do is read the first sentence of each of your points to see where you are coming from, and its anything BUT objective.
December 2nd, 2009 at 7:31 pm
Your last bullet point makes some good sense, but even the supporting ‘facts’ you cite are disputed.
Should we be good stewards of the environment and the Earth? Yes. Should we do more than we are? Yes. Everything else you mention here is suspect.